stock trading holidays 2009
stock trading holidays 2009
We entered the month of September and the markets look a little nervous.
September / October period is often marked by turbulence frequent. Here I will address what to expect.
Holidays are over
In the Northern Hemisphere, August means that traders returned from vacation and a reassessment of the market which means sometimes there can be turbulence common:
 • It in September last year as Lehman Brothers collapsed
 • September 11, 2001 was a great tragedy in the United States and also negative for markets
 • September / October 2002 saw the market at a low level because of the recession this year.
Given the frequency of these markets with a negative performance in September / October, you can blame the merchants to get a bit nervous now that began in September?
He spoke of a correction
We saw the U.S. market as measured by the S & P 500 has increased by over 50% lower in March.
For the Australian market, the S & P / ASX 200 has risen by over 40% less than in March.
Merchants appear ready to enter a correction. Any businessman knows that the huge market growth seen in the recent three months is unbearable and pause at the moment would be a good sign for the market.
Industry Performance
To give you an idea of how different sectors have traveled in 2009 to date, here are the results for the areas best and worst:
Best Articles
Tech Info – Up 34%
Energy – Up to 25%
Financials – Up to 25%
Materials – Up to 25%
The regions most
Telecom – down 12%
Utilities – 6.7% Down
Property / REITs – 4.4%
Health – a decrease of 1.4%
As you can see, one of the themes in 2009 until now is that the cyclical growth sectors have already exceeded the sectors of defense underperformed.
With markets to feel nervous, this issue is likely to be upside down with traders return in the areas of defense.
China
Another issue in September to see who will be China.
Porcelain began to be a greater effect on the psyche of the world. The Shanghai Composite Index has lost 22% in August 2009 and now refers to contracts whether growth we have seen will continue or if a brake on investment, will affect growth.
China has a significant effect on demand and commodity prices. We have seen the base metal up to 50% in 2009 so far, but a brake on investment in China could see a reversal of this area would impact on Australia and its large resource sector.
Risk management long term
For long-term investor, you should ask whether it is worthwhile to leave the position given the tax implications and costs of delegation.
It will return to focus on what happens to the strategies of risk management.
One of the lessons of the global financial crisis (GFC) is a major setback on markets can be very painful. Stop losses are a way to mitigate the losses, without seeing the portfolio of the day.
Opportunities Short-term
For short term traders is an exciting time. After all, the market tends to go "downstairs" but "the lift".
So if you see a decline, which could be time to make some quick profits on short positions.
Go for gold
Finally, if you look at the positive side of this story, and that September tends to be a bad month for stocks is usually a good month for gold.
Economic Collapse/Stock Market Update (Feb 21, 2009)
